Scenarios and human resources: foresight preparation Scenario planning is often a strategic program driven by executives to help an organization map out its strategic options against a background of uncertainty. Scenario planning should no longer be held captive in the board room, or the executive suite. The new age of uncertainty affects not just strategic choices, but … [Read more...] about Scenarios and Human Resources: 6 Reasons Scenarios and Foresight are Critical to HR
What are the scenarios in scenario planning? Scenarios offer narratives about the future. Imagining the future counts as a uniquely human trait. Much of the time, however, we think about the future in the same way we live our lives, extrapolating one event after the other. Emerging technologies, social movements, environmental realizations, political legislation and … [Read more...] about What are the ‘Scenarios’ in Scenario Planning?
Uncertainty in Buffy the Vampire Slayer: The Myth of Lock-in James Ogilvy, writing in Strategy + Business, states, “The old production economy was predictable because it operated in the realm of necessity; it produced goods and services people needed, and those were relatively stable. The new economy plays in the realm of freedom; it produces goods and services for a … [Read more...] about Uncertainty in Buffy the Vampire Slayer: The Myth of Lock-in
Brexit Uncertainties The vote by the UK to part ways with the European Union (EU) has created a potential for disruptive uncertainties that will invalidate any long-range scenarios based that are exploring futures related to business and government. Need for New Scenarios There are likely many scenarios that looked at the implications of an UK departure from the EU. … [Read more...] about Brexit Uncertainties: Emerging Factors & a Need for New Scenarios
Technology lock-in... “We can do this because we have technology to manipulate matter right down to the molecular level. This is an extraordinary ability, think of it! And yet some of us here can accept transforming the entire physical reality of this planet, without doing a single thing to change ourselves, or the way we live. To be twenty-first-century scientists on Mars, … [Read more...] about Technology Lock-in: How 20th Century Technology Keeps Small and Medium Businesses from Joining the 21st Century