Scenario Planning, AI and Covid-19 In Scenario Planning, AI and Covid-19 will challenge assumptions about what factors shape our future. Even for those who developed scenarios in which the Covid-19 outbreak occurred, that it has occurred means those scenarios collapse into a set of certainties. …
Scenario Workshop Expectations or What to Expect When You’re Expecting a Scenario Plan Before you decide on scenario planning You’ve made a decision to develop a scenario plan. That’s a big step for a strategic planning program. But it is only a first step. Deciding …
Scenario Planning and Agility: The Case for Scenarios In an Uncertain World Scenario planning and agility. Too often, managers and leaders focus on how to control the near-term. They don’t take the time to consider if what they prioritize as important today, will be useful, …
Uncertainty in Buffy the Vampire Slayer: Changing the Rules of Magic The deepest level of scenario planning requires a release of certainty. Not only is “lock-in a myth” (see What Scenario Planners Can Learn from Uncertainty in Buffy the Vampire Slayer: The Myth of Lock-in) …
What Scenario Planners Can Learn from Uncertainty in Buffy the Vampire Slayer: Resurrection and Consequences Like the character Buffy, the show proved resilient in the face of change. Following cancelation, Team Buffy announced that Buffy the Vampire Slayer would return to the air for at …
Glorificus and Black Swans Season Five introduced a major existential threat to Sunnyvale in the form of the goddess Glorificus, better known as Glory. Glory might be better categorized a Black Swan than a predictable uncertainty. Although the team had encountered gods before, such as …
The Myth of Lock-in James Ogilvy, writing in Strategy + Business states that, “The old production economy was predictable because it operated in the realm of necessity; it produced goods and services people needed, and those were relatively stable. The new economy plays in the …
Buffy the Vampire Slayer and Uncertainty: An Introduction In March of 1603, King James I (James VI of Scotland) ascended the English throne. After many years of rule by Queen Elizabeth I, England faced many, as Shakespeare calls them in Sonnet CVII “incertainties.” The uncertainties …
Disney Abandons the Future in Tomorrowland: And What they Should Do About It Walt Disney was a major advocate for the future. He designed Tomorrowland to showcase emerging ideas and technologies, to intrigue and inspire. Disney has all but abandoned science in favor of fantasy. …
Scenario Planning for Human Resources Proud to have an article on scenario planning published in India’s premier HR publication. If we all knew exactly how the future would turn out, there would be no need to negotiate plans. We would simply accept the future and …