The case for Agile Scenario Planning Since the onset of the pandemic, any set of scenario plans that did not include a global pandemic or an analog, instantly became useless. The black swan of the pandemic disrupted assumptions across the board. It made almost everything uncertain. Early on in the pandemic, a few forecasters attempted.
Read more
CES 2021 WFH Innovations. CES 2021 wrapped. I’m not sitting at the Venetian, just inside from the Sands Convention Center, exhausted from trying to embrace that final leg of CES after days at the Las Vegas Convention Center. Although I am not at the Venetian, I am a bit exhausted. I did not find the.
Read more
In late October 2020, Slack dropped a report titled Navigating the Disruption of Work. The report centers on five key assertions: As with any assertive set of future-looking statements, context often gets missed when trying to create a position. Slack fails to recognize two essential elements still in play. First, we are too close to.
Read more
Those who want to think like a scenario planner need to adopt a new mindset. Â Yes,scenario planning is a process. Those who treat scenario planning only as a process, however, achieve suboptimal results. Scenario planning, the analysis of the uncertainties, and the authoring of the narratives takes place in the imagination of the team creating.
Read more
Scenario Planning, AI and Covid-19 In Scenario Planning, AI and Covid-19 will challenge assumptions about what factors shape our future. Even for those who developed scenarios in which the Covid-19 outbreak occurred, that it has occurred means those scenarios collapse into a set of certainties. The surrounding scenarios no longer hold true. The number of.
Read more
Before you decide on scenario planning Scenario Workshop Expectations. You’ve made a decision to develop a scenario plan. That’s a big step for a strategic planning program. But it is only a first step. Deciding to integrate scenario planning into your strategic work means you’ve also decided that many of the factors influencing your future.
Read more
Scenario Planning and Agility: The Case for Scenarios In an Uncertain World Scenario planning and agility. Too often, managers and leaders focus on how to control the near-term. They don’t take the time to consider if what they prioritize as important today, will be useful, valuable, or applicable to some future state of the organization. .
Read more
CES 2019: Serious Insights Watch List explores the topics that Serious Insights will cover for clients and readers at the trade show.
Read more
Uncertainty in Buffy the Vampire Slayer: Changing the Rules of Magic The deepest level of scenario planning requires a release of certainty. Not only is “lock-in a myth” (see What Scenario Planners Can Learn from Uncertainty in Buffy the Vampire Slayer: The Myth of Lock-in) at the grand scale, but the best planners revoke the.
Read more
What Scenario Planners Can Learn from Uncertainty in Buffy the Vampire Slayer: Resurrection and Consequences Like the character Buffy, the show proved resilient in the face of change. Following cancelation, Team Buffy announced that Buffy the Vampire Slayer would return to the air for at least one more season on the now-defunct UPN network. The network’s.
Read more