The Role of Uncertainties in Scenario Planning: A Philosophy If we knew how the future would turn out, we would not need to study or explore scenarios. But nearly every headline suggests uncertainty about the future, and many of them state it outright. Creating myths about the past and the future Scenario planning arose as a very human response to uncertainty. As … [Read more...] about The Role of Uncertainties in Scenario Planning
Scenario Planning
CIOs: Don’t Bet On the Future of Augmented Reality Just Yet
CIOs: Don't Bet On the Future of Augmented Reality Just Yet A recent report from Camera IQ, The Gateway to the Metaverse: AR Marketing & Consumer Behavior in 2022, reported that 76% of consumers had used augmented reality. A slightly higher 78% said they were likely to share a brand's AR (AR) experience with their community. Reports like this should be considered … [Read more...] about CIOs: Don’t Bet On the Future of Augmented Reality Just Yet
The Russian Invasion of Ukraine Emerging Uncertainties: Adding New Variables to Already Complex Scenarios
The Russian invasion of Ukraine emerging uncertainties: context First, COVID-19 upended most models of the future. Even those with pandemic contingencies missed significant ramifications brought on by the virus. Then the death of several black Americans precipitated global outrage and awareness of social injustice. That led to major demonstrations and riots that caused many … [Read more...] about The Russian Invasion of Ukraine Emerging Uncertainties: Adding New Variables to Already Complex Scenarios
‘A Natural History of Human Thinking’ Review. Michael Tomasello’s Slog Through the Human Mental Development
When I requested Tomasello’s A Natural History of Human Thinking (Harvard University Press, 2014), I imagined a book that would engage my imagination with insight and witty prose. What Tomasello offers, despite the trade pricing, is an academic treatise not a popular read. Tomasello does not write with the poetry of Diane Ackerman in A Natural … [Read more...] about ‘A Natural History of Human Thinking’ Review. Michael Tomasello’s Slog Through the Human Mental Development
Scenarios and Innovation: Where in the Process?
In a past post I explored into scenarios and innovation in great depth (see How Does Scenario Planning Help Drive Innovation). I was reading a piece in the Financial Times called Another Way of to develop ideas (on the web as Another form of creative thinking) which looked at practices for Open Innovation. It does not mention scenarios. I think this is a critical mistake. … [Read more...] about Scenarios and Innovation: Where in the Process?