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Serious Insights

Serious Insights

Research and reviews from strategist, futurist and analyst Daniel W. Rasmus

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Will Chocolate Save the World?

March 27, 2015 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

Will Chocolate Save the World? Keep an eye on chocolate. It may save the world. In the scenario planning discipline we call side conversations about potentially big things a weak signal. It is an early cry of “wolf” in a world filled with potential catastrophes. Sometimes, that cry is heard, and in the case of Rachel Carson’s Silent Spring, DDT was eradicated, albeit not … [Read more...] about Will Chocolate Save the World?

The Problem with Prediction: How to View Santa Cruz Crime Prevention Software

August 19, 2011 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

ABC ran a story about Santa Cruz, CA using software to help identify areas where crime may take place ( see Santa Cruz Police Using Computer Program to Predict, Prevent Crime). This kind of prediction is very different from what futurist do because it is constrained in both time and place. Those constraints are why it works. Those constraints are also the reason that short term … [Read more...] about The Problem with Prediction: How to View Santa Cruz Crime Prevention Software

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