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Serious Insights

Serious Insights

Research and reviews from strategist, futurist and analyst Daniel W. Rasmus

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Economic

Hollywood and the Serendipity Economy-The Unexpected Chilly Reception to Warner Bros UltraViolet

December 8, 2011 by Daniel W. Rasmus 2 Comments

Note: UltraViolet was shut down on July 31, 2019. The Serendipity Economy is a superset of other economic models. Warner Bros recently discovered The Serendipity Economy's effects as they rolled out their Digital Entertainment Content Ecosystem consortium developed UltraViolet "digital copy" product for entertainment titles. As documented in this Associated Press story … [Read more...] about Hollywood and the Serendipity Economy-The Unexpected Chilly Reception to Warner Bros UltraViolet

Government Forecasts and Scenario Planning: If Governments Want Growth, They Need to Inspire, Not Just Reinforce Negative Forecasts

November 3, 2011 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

Government Forecasts and Scenario Planning Governments need to start speaking and thinking in scenario planning terms and not just articulating single-minded dire government forecasts. They need to do this in times of struggle and in times of prosperity. Today, for instance, "The Federal Reserve sharply downgraded its projections for the U.S. economy Wednesday, warning … [Read more...] about Government Forecasts and Scenario Planning: If Governments Want Growth, They Need to Inspire, Not Just Reinforce Negative Forecasts

Netflix: Strategic Dysfunction or 21st-Century Strategic Transparency fueled by citizen regulators?

October 11, 2011 by Daniel W. Rasmus 1 Comment

The tale has been told about Netflix and its surprise announcement of rate hikes (see Brian Stelter's summary, Netflix, in Reversal, Will Keep Its Services Together, from his Media Decode blog at The New York Times), its equally unexpected move to disconnect the Netflix streaming business from its DVD-by-mail business and today, its quick move to assure customers and investors … [Read more...] about Netflix: Strategic Dysfunction or 21st-Century Strategic Transparency fueled by citizen regulators?

Scenario: Gold isn’t always a safe haven

September 26, 2011 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

Many have touted gold as the safe place to invest as prices skyrocketed over the past several months. But gold as a haven is falling to cash as reported in today's FT: Gold slides as investors scramble for cash. Although gold may recover to its record levels, that is by no means assured. Individuals and institutions need to be cautious of any spokesperson or organization … [Read more...] about Scenario: Gold isn’t always a safe haven

Five Things to Consider as your worry about Uncertainty and the Future of the Economy

August 9, 2011 by Daniel W. Rasmus 1 Comment

The buzzword yesterday was uncertainty. US debt has never dropped below a AAA rating. And yet, with the move to AA+, the bond market was positive, while stocks, in companies with good earnings and huge amounts of cash, took a pounding. It is hard to make sense of what is going on unless you look beyond the headlines to some underlying realities. Here is some advice for these … [Read more...] about Five Things to Consider as your worry about Uncertainty and the Future of the Economy

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