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Serious Insights

Serious Insights

Research and reviews from strategist, futurist and analyst Daniel W. Rasmus

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Forecasting

CES 2022 and the Future of Trade Shows [Video]

January 12, 2022 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

CES 2022 and the Future of Trade Shows Like hybrid work, virtual trade shows will likely continue even if COVID gets downgraded from pandemic to endemic. CES 2022 was the second live conference I did not attend. Information Today’s Knowledge Management World was once again shifted to virtual after months of planning for a return to Washington D.C. And then the Saturday … [Read more...] about CES 2022 and the Future of Trade Shows [Video]

Scenario Planning: 6 Reasons Data-Driven Forecasting Needs Scenarios

December 15, 2021 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

Those forecasting toy demand on an e-commerce site can benefit from several forecasting advances, including the integration of more contextual, operational real-time data, along with demand insights, pricing indicators, and promotions. But even with these advances, seasonality for instance, in retail, remains an issue. Forecasting becomes increasingly difficult and less … [Read more...] about Scenario Planning: 6 Reasons Data-Driven Forecasting Needs Scenarios

Stephen Jay Gould on Trends and Progress: The Problem With Trends

May 1, 2015 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

Stephen Jay Gould The Problem Trends and Progress The problem with trends. Trend-watchers need to be cautious that they understand the idea of trends, and that they don't just find them, but that they actively watch them. Trends have a habit of going off the rails. Stephen Jay Gould, in is 1988 Stanford Presidential Address "TRENDS AS CHANGES IN VARIANCE: A NEW SLANT ON … [Read more...] about Stephen Jay Gould on Trends and Progress: The Problem With Trends

17 Uncertainties that will Define (or Redefine) Your 2014

January 21, 2014 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

Download the entire paper here. 1. Workforce Dynamics Key Dynamic: Will the workforce effectively integrate, or will generational issues result in bifurcation? What skill gaps and needs for knowledge will emerge as each generation seeks to define its future? 2. Globalization Key Dynamic: Will the global economy march to ever more ubiquity, or will it fracture and … [Read more...] about 17 Uncertainties that will Define (or Redefine) Your 2014

Oxford’s Rafael Ramirez on Scenario Planning

June 24, 2013 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

Watch an exclusive interview with Rafael Ramirez, Director of the Oxford Scenarios Programme and Fellow in Strategy at the Saїd Business School and Green Templeton College, Oxford University. A world expert on scenario planning and a founder of theories on the aesthetics of business, work and organisation, Rafael Ramirez has worked in over 25 countries, spanning many … [Read more...] about Oxford’s Rafael Ramirez on Scenario Planning

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