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Scenario Planning

Visual recording: ‘How You Think About the Future is Dangerous’

December 23, 2014 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

A really fun visual capture of my recent talk, "How Your Think About the Future is Dangerous" at re.comm 14 in Austria. Thank you to trendsketcher.de/Anna Luise Sulimma for the great work! … [Read more...] about Visual recording: ‘How You Think About the Future is Dangerous’

HBR – CIOs: Scenario Planning Can Save Your Job

October 2, 2014 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

It’s the rare CIO who applies scenario planning to the business of IT. Yet, in a function driven by innovation and the uncertainties surrounding the application and implication of future technologies, not using scenarios is tantamount to management malpractice. Scenarios can help IT organizations create more resilient plans, practice for business climate changes, and better … [Read more...] about HBR – CIOs: Scenario Planning Can Save Your Job

The Scenario Planning Matrix: Getting to the Matrix

September 29, 2014 by Daniel W. Rasmus 3 Comments

The Scenario Planning Matrix: Getting to the Matrix The creation of the matrix is the most intellectually challenging analysis in a scenario-planning project, and also the most intuitive. Because of this dual nature, it is also the most difficult to teach, as the process draws on both implicit and tacit knowledge. This blog post aims to make implicit knowledge explicit while … [Read more...] about The Scenario Planning Matrix: Getting to the Matrix

How to Write a Good Scenario Planning Focal Question

September 21, 2014 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

The focal question in scenario planning acts as an anchor and as a fence. It anchors the project so that people are clear about what they are solving for. “The future of learning” will pull in a dialogue about learning, acting like gravity, placing appropriate ideas, concepts and evidence in orbit, while material not related to the question floats off. Focal question as … [Read more...] about How to Write a Good Scenario Planning Focal Question

How to Think About Voting For Uncertainties in a Scenario Planning Project

September 14, 2014 by Daniel W. Rasmus Leave a Comment

How to Think About Voting For Uncertainties in a Scenario Planning Project Voting for uncertainties in a scenario planning project is counterintuitive and sometimes overwhelming. The list of items arrives for consideration from interviews and research that the people voting likely didn’t participate in. That means that people voting need to familiarize themselves with the … [Read more...] about How to Think About Voting For Uncertainties in a Scenario Planning Project

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