I just completed a brief interview on uncertainty, and I don't think my answer was as precise as it could be. So I thought I would write out the answer here. Hope is a fact but certainty is a myth. Through the construct of hope, people may believe that things are stable or certain, but they never are. From the demise of marriages to untimely deaths, to the loss of a job to … [Read more...] about Why is Uncertainty in so many of Today’s Headlines
Scenario Planning
Thinking Like a Strategist. Perspectives on Research.
When a large organization tells me that they have "confirmed their strategic position with research" I am immediately skeptical because that sentence doesn't provide me with enough information. I dig a little deeper by asking a not so simple question: Was this research conducted after you decided on your position or before? This question is important because when it … [Read more...] about Thinking Like a Strategist. Perspectives on Research.
The Tens: Don’t Trust A Futurist
For more serious insights on strategy click here. … [Read more...] about The Tens: Don’t Trust A Futurist
Five Things to Consider as your worry about Uncertainty and the Future of the Economy
The buzzword yesterday was uncertainty. US debt has never dropped below a AAA rating. And yet, with the move to AA+, the bond market was positive, while stocks, in companies with good earnings and huge amounts of cash, took a pounding. It is hard to make sense of what is going on unless you look beyond the headlines to some underlying realities. Here is some advice for these … [Read more...] about Five Things to Consider as your worry about Uncertainty and the Future of the Economy
Six Cautions for IT in the Cloud Planners, or Why Bernard Golden is Wrong
CIO Magazine ran a story this week (July 29, 2010) on six predictions on how cloud computing will change IT, taking it from the hodgepodge of today's options into the smooth waters of a post-cloud world where IT only has one choice. Even the opening premise leaves me flat, because as we move to a post-cloud world, some other disruption will be on the horizon which will … [Read more...] about Six Cautions for IT in the Cloud Planners, or Why Bernard Golden is Wrong