Brexit Uncertainties The vote by the UK to part ways with the European Union (EU) has created a potential for disruptive uncertainties that will invalidate any long-range scenarios based that are exploring futures related to business and government. Need for New Scenarios There are likely many scenarios that looked at the implications of an UK departure from the EU. … [Read more...] about Brexit Uncertainties: Emerging Factors & a Need for New Scenarios
Scenario Planning
Virtual Work 2030: AI, VR, AR and the New Work Experience
Virtual Work 2030: Design The incoming collaboration request from Bangalore chirps off to the left. A smartwatch tingles on Leslie’s wrist. Priyanka will surely want an update on the kiosk design. Leslie looks right and focuses on the chirping collaboration request, and moves slowly toward it. It dissolves into a perspective room. Front and center of the room is the … [Read more...] about Virtual Work 2030: AI, VR, AR and the New Work Experience
Scenarios Go Back to the Future: 5 Reasons it is Hard to Predict the Future
Photo by Pixabay on Pexels.com Scenarios Go Back to the Future: 5 Reasons it is Hard to Predict the Future Scenarios Go Back to the Future: 5 Reasons it is Hard to Predict the Future was written on Oct 21, 2015. Many posts today are focusing on what the Back to the Future II team got right and wrong about the future. I don’t think as a percentage of speculation, they … [Read more...] about Scenarios Go Back to the Future: 5 Reasons it is Hard to Predict the Future
Uncertainty and Globalization: Uncertainties Are More Important Than Trends
Uncertainty and globalization Uncertainty and globalization are joined at the hip as the world vacillates between open borders and hostility, creating tension and opportunity. For every trend, there is an uncertainty waiting to derail it. Some outside force prowling at the edges of visibility waiting to pounce on what so many consider an inevitability. I found it … [Read more...] about Uncertainty and Globalization: Uncertainties Are More Important Than Trends
Stephen Jay Gould on Trends and Progress: The Problem With Trends
Stephen Jay Gould The Problem Trends and Progress The problem with trends. Trend-watchers need to be cautious that they understand the idea of trends, and that they don't just find them, but that they actively watch them. Trends have a habit of going off the rails. Stephen Jay Gould, in is 1988 Stanford Presidential Address "TRENDS AS CHANGES IN VARIANCE: A NEW SLANT ON … [Read more...] about Stephen Jay Gould on Trends and Progress: The Problem With Trends